**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 91–92°F for Houston on September 17, with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent easterly flow, high moisture content, and increasing afternoon cloud cover are the main variables that could trim peak temperatures by 1–3°F if convection develops earlier or is more widespread than currently expected. Historical September climatology shows typical highs around 90°F, but the current pattern features slightly above-normal warmth tempered by the storm risk. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 88–91°F because traders are balancing the official forecast high against the uncertainty in convective timing and coverage; a clearer, sunnier day would favor the upper end of that range while earlier or heavier storms would push readings toward the lower bins. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 17 de setembro?
88-89°F 34%
32°C - 32,7°C 31%
30-31°C 17%
92-93°F 14%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
79°F ou menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
30-31°C
17%
88-89°F
34%
32°C - 32,7°C
31%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98°F ou mais
1%
88-89°F 34%
32°C - 32,7°C 31%
30-31°C 17%
92-93°F 14%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
79°F ou menos
$166 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$842 Vol.
2%
30-31°C
$978 Vol.
17%
88-89°F
$1,580 Vol.
34%
32°C - 32,7°C
$691 Vol.
31%
92-93°F
$73 Vol.
14%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
2%
98°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 91–92°F for Houston on September 17, with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent easterly flow, high moisture content, and increasing afternoon cloud cover are the main variables that could trim peak temperatures by 1–3°F if convection develops earlier or is more widespread than currently expected. Historical September climatology shows typical highs around 90°F, but the current pattern features slightly above-normal warmth tempered by the storm risk. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 88–91°F because traders are balancing the official forecast high against the uncertainty in convective timing and coverage; a clearer, sunnier day would favor the upper end of that range while earlier or heavier storms would push readings toward the lower bins. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,410Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 91–92°F for Houston on September 17, with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent easterly flow, high moisture content, and increasing afternoon cloud cover are the main variables that could trim peak temperatures by 1–3°F if convection develops earlier or is more widespread than currently expected. Historical September climatology shows typical highs around 90°F, but the current pattern features slightly above-normal warmth tempered by the storm risk. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 88–91°F because traders are balancing the official forecast high against the uncertainty in convective timing and coverage; a clearer, sunnier day would favor the upper end of that range while earlier or heavier storms would push readings toward the lower bins. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,410Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 91–92°F for Houston on September 17, with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** Persistent easterly flow, high moisture content, and increasing afternoon cloud cover are the main variables that could trim peak temperatures by 1–3°F if convection develops earlier or is more widespread than currently expected. Historical September climatology shows typical highs around 90°F, but the current pattern features slightly above-normal warmth tempered by the storm risk. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 88–91°F because traders are balancing the official forecast high against the uncertainty in convective timing and coverage; a clearer, sunnier day would favor the upper end of that range while earlier or heavier storms would push readings toward the lower bins. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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