**Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 18, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 23°C, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Partly cloudy conditions and urban heat retention in Guangzhou further moderate overnight drops, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of 24°C and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. The closely matched market odds on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; new high-resolution model updates and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 18 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 98%
30°C ou mais 97%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
20°C ou menos
98%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
20%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C ou mais
97%
20°C ou menos 98%
30°C ou mais 97%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
98%
21°C
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 18, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 23°C, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Partly cloudy conditions and urban heat retention in Guangzhou further moderate overnight drops, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of 24°C and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. The closely matched market odds on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; new high-resolution model updates and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 18, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 23°C, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Partly cloudy conditions and urban heat retention in Guangzhou further moderate overnight drops, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of 24°C and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. The closely matched market odds on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; new high-resolution model updates and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 18, shaped by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 23°C, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Partly cloudy conditions and urban heat retention in Guangzhou further moderate overnight drops, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of 24°C and recent model runs showing little day-to-day change. The closely matched market odds on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; new high-resolution model updates and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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