Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 18–20°C for Qingdao on September 18 under a cloudy-to-sunny transition with light southeast winds. This range reflects moderate overnight radiative cooling tempered by coastal marine air and residual cloud cover that limits temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the observed low by 1–2°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on late-summer climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official observations on the 17th will likely tighten the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 18 de setembro?
16°C ou menos 100%
26°C ou mais 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
16°C ou menos
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C ou mais
98%
16°C ou menos 100%
26°C ou mais 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
16°C ou menos
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 18–20°C for Qingdao on September 18 under a cloudy-to-sunny transition with light southeast winds. This range reflects moderate overnight radiative cooling tempered by coastal marine air and residual cloud cover that limits temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the observed low by 1–2°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on late-summer climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official observations on the 17th will likely tighten the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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