Persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing, keeping forecast highs for September 17 clustered around 22–26 °C in official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models. Light winds and saturated soils further limit surface warming, producing market-implied odds that favor 22–23 °C while assigning meaningful probability to 21 °C or below. Ensemble spread remains notable because small differences in timing or intensity of showers can alter maximum temperatures by 2–3 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through September 16 will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 17 de setembro?
23°C 30%
21°C ou menos 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 16%
21°C ou menos
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 30%
21°C ou menos 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 16%
21°C ou menos
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
30%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and high humidity are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing, keeping forecast highs for September 17 clustered around 22–26 °C in official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models. Light winds and saturated soils further limit surface warming, producing market-implied odds that favor 22–23 °C while assigning meaningful probability to 21 °C or below. Ensemble spread remains notable because small differences in timing or intensity of showers can alter maximum temperatures by 2–3 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through September 16 will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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