Persistent cloud cover and rainfall from Chongqing’s autumn rain period, which began around September 15, are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and elevating overnight lows for September 17. Official forecasts indicate a narrow diurnal range with minima near 21°C amid light to moderate rain and high humidity, limiting the typical drop below daytime readings. This meteorological setup supports trader emphasis on the 25°C-or-higher outcome at 41% implied probability, while lower bins around 19–22°C reflect residual model spread and historical September variability. Continued monitoring of rain intensity and updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 17 de setembro?
25°C ou mais 86%
19°C 44%
15°C ou menos 43%
21°C 40%
15°C ou menos
43%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
14%
25°C ou mais
86%
25°C ou mais 86%
19°C 44%
15°C ou menos 43%
21°C 40%
15°C ou menos
43%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
14%
25°C ou mais
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and rainfall from Chongqing’s autumn rain period, which began around September 15, are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling and elevating overnight lows for September 17. Official forecasts indicate a narrow diurnal range with minima near 21°C amid light to moderate rain and high humidity, limiting the typical drop below daytime readings. This meteorological setup supports trader emphasis on the 25°C-or-higher outcome at 41% implied probability, while lower bins around 19–22°C reflect residual model spread and historical September variability. Continued monitoring of rain intensity and updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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