Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure dominating the region. This setup favors moderate diurnal heating with afternoon peaks hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market's tight 36.5% and 33% shares for those exact thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation or lingering morning cloud explain the uncertainty between 23°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and final model cycles ahead of resolution will likely refine the precise high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 11 de setembro?
25°C 37%
24°C 33%
23°C 12%
26°C 10%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
33%
25°C
37%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 37%
24°C 33%
23°C 12%
26°C 10%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
33%
25°C
37%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure dominating the region. This setup favors moderate diurnal heating with afternoon peaks hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market's tight 36.5% and 33% shares for those exact thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation or lingering morning cloud explain the uncertainty between 23°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and final model cycles ahead of resolution will likely refine the precise high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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