Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 10 de setembro?
14°C 66%
13°C 26%
12°C 6%
15°C 4%
NOVO
$15,564 Vol.
NOVO
$15,564 Vol.
10 set 2026
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
26%
14°C
66%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 66%
13°C 26%
12°C 6%
15°C 4%
NOVO
$15,564 Vol.
NOVO
$15,564 Vol.
10 set 2026
8°C ou menos
$1,106 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,041 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,875 Vol.
6%
13°C
$2,004 Vol.
26%
14°C
$2,683 Vol.
66%
15°C
$1,043 Vol.
4%
16°C
$726 Vol.
1%
17°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou mais
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,564Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,564Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a daytime high of 13–14°C in Wellington on September 10, with widespread cloud cover, periods of rain, and northwest winds gusting above 30 knots limiting solar heating. This aligns with the market’s 65% implied probability on 14°C and 26% on 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability rather than seasonal September averages near 14–15°C. Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution, with any late-model shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing the main variables that could adjust the peak by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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