**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 11 centers on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent forecasts showing overnight lows near 25°C amid the rainy season's high humidity and persistent cloud cover.** These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping minima close to the climatological baseline of 24–26°C for early September. Leading probabilities for 26°C (46.5%) and 25°C (28%) align with current guidance from sources indicating stable maritime air and light winds that prevent significant drops. Elevated odds on extremes like 30°C+ or 20°C or below capture tail risks from forecast uncertainty, such as unexpected clear skies or model divergence, though recent observations and ensemble runs show little support for outliers. Upcoming NHC or local updates could refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, potentially shifting implied probabilities if new data alters the overnight minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Panamá em 11 de setembro?
30°C ou mais 55%
20°C ou menos 54%
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
20°C ou menos
54%
21°C
8%
22°C
15%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
47%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
38%
30°C ou mais
55%
30°C ou mais 55%
20°C ou menos 54%
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
20°C ou menos
54%
21°C
8%
22°C
15%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
47%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
38%
30°C ou mais
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 11 centers on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus from recent forecasts showing overnight lows near 25°C amid the rainy season's high humidity and persistent cloud cover.** These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping minima close to the climatological baseline of 24–26°C for early September. Leading probabilities for 26°C (46.5%) and 25°C (28%) align with current guidance from sources indicating stable maritime air and light winds that prevent significant drops. Elevated odds on extremes like 30°C+ or 20°C or below capture tail risks from forecast uncertainty, such as unexpected clear skies or model divergence, though recent observations and ensemble runs show little support for outliers. Upcoming NHC or local updates could refine steering patterns and precipitation timing, potentially shifting implied probabilities if new data alters the overnight minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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