Recent official forecasts and observational data position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s daily maximum on September 10, with model consensus showing partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered drizzle limiting daytime heating. Current readings near 28–29°C midday, combined with moderate humidity around 60–70% and minimal solar insolation under cloud cover, support these peaks rather than higher values. Market-implied odds align closely with ensemble guidance indicating low probability of reaching 30°C or above, while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Real-time updates from monitoring stations will refine the exact high as afternoon conditions evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 10 de setembro?
29°C 69%
28°C 23%
30°C 8%
32°C <1%
$65,322 Vol.
$65,322 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
23%
29°C
69%
30°C
8%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 69%
28°C 23%
30°C 8%
32°C <1%
$65,322 Vol.
$65,322 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
23%
29°C
69%
30°C
8%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and observational data position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s daily maximum on September 10, with model consensus showing partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered drizzle limiting daytime heating. Current readings near 28–29°C midday, combined with moderate humidity around 60–70% and minimal solar insolation under cloud cover, support these peaks rather than higher values. Market-implied odds align closely with ensemble guidance indicating low probability of reaching 30°C or above, while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Real-time updates from monitoring stations will refine the exact high as afternoon conditions evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions