Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models point to a September 11 high near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds under 20 km/h and humidity of 60–80%. Trader sentiment splits closely between 28°C and 29°C because modest variations in cloud thickness or the timing of any light showers could cap peak warming by 1°C through reduced solar insolation. Historical September baselines show typical highs around 28–30°C, but current moisture and stable steering patterns favor limited daytime heating. Updated model runs and the next official briefing tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 11 de setembro?
28°C 47%
29°C 33%
27°C 15%
30°C 7%
NOVO
$18,955 Vol.
NOVO
$18,955 Vol.
11 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
15%
28°C
47%
29°C
33%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 33%
27°C 15%
30°C 7%
NOVO
$18,955 Vol.
NOVO
$18,955 Vol.
11 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,634 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,100 Vol.
15%
28°C
$4,632 Vol.
47%
29°C
$3,552 Vol.
33%
30°C
$2,663 Vol.
7%
31°C
$991 Vol.
2%
32°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou mais
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models point to a September 11 high near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds under 20 km/h and humidity of 60–80%. Trader sentiment splits closely between 28°C and 29°C because modest variations in cloud thickness or the timing of any light showers could cap peak warming by 1°C through reduced solar insolation. Historical September baselines show typical highs around 28–30°C, but current moisture and stable steering patterns favor limited daytime heating. Updated model runs and the next official briefing tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$18,955Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models point to a September 11 high near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds under 20 km/h and humidity of 60–80%. Trader sentiment splits closely between 28°C and 29°C because modest variations in cloud thickness or the timing of any light showers could cap peak warming by 1°C through reduced solar insolation. Historical September baselines show typical highs around 28–30°C, but current moisture and stable steering patterns favor limited daytime heating. Updated model runs and the next official briefing tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,955Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and consensus across GFS and ECMWF models point to a September 11 high near 29°C under mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds under 20 km/h and humidity of 60–80%. Trader sentiment splits closely between 28°C and 29°C because modest variations in cloud thickness or the timing of any light showers could cap peak warming by 1°C through reduced solar insolation. Historical September baselines show typical highs around 28–30°C, but current moisture and stable steering patterns favor limited daytime heating. Updated model runs and the next official briefing tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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