Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 12 de setembro?
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 27%
78-79°F 14%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
27%
30-30,5°C
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92°F ou mais
4%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 27%
78-79°F 14%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
73°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$38 Vol.
27%
30-30,5°C
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
7%
92°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$38Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 12 indicates mostly sunny skies and southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, above the 1991–2020 average of 77.5°F. Trader consensus clusters around 82–85°F because ensemble runs show limited cloud cover and modest warm advection without strong frontal passages or lake-breeze suppression. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high and boundary-layer mixing depth, which control how much solar heating reaches the surface versus moderation from Lake Michigan. Updated model cycles through the weekend and any shifts in 850-hPa temperatures or dew points could adjust the final maximum, while historical extremes above 90°F remain rare for the date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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