Trader consensus positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability because official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a mild spring day in Cape Town with a maximum temperature most likely reaching 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Persistent onshore flow from the South Atlantic has kept conditions cooler than recent warmer spells, with hourly observations and updated runs clustering daily highs in this narrow band rather than pushing toward 20°C or higher. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, while the absence of strong warming signals or clear skies supports the current market distribution ahead of final daily measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 10 de setembro?
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
20°C 14%
17°C 13%
$40,561 Vol.
$40,561 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
13%
18°C
32%
19°C
44%
20°C
14%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
20°C 14%
17°C 13%
$40,561 Vol.
$40,561 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$5,651 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,270 Vol.
1%
16°C
$3,616 Vol.
2%
17°C
$4,388 Vol.
13%
18°C
$2,725 Vol.
32%
19°C
$5,086 Vol.
44%
20°C
$5,530 Vol.
14%
21°C
$5,153 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,235 Vol.
1%
23°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability because official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a mild spring day in Cape Town with a maximum temperature most likely reaching 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Persistent onshore flow from the South Atlantic has kept conditions cooler than recent warmer spells, with hourly observations and updated runs clustering daily highs in this narrow band rather than pushing toward 20°C or higher. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, while the absence of strong warming signals or clear skies supports the current market distribution ahead of final daily measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$40,561Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability because official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a mild spring day in Cape Town with a maximum temperature most likely reaching 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Persistent onshore flow from the South Atlantic has kept conditions cooler than recent warmer spells, with hourly observations and updated runs clustering daily highs in this narrow band rather than pushing toward 20°C or higher. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, while the absence of strong warming signals or clear skies supports the current market distribution ahead of final daily measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,561Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 19°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability because official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a mild spring day in Cape Town with a maximum temperature most likely reaching 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Persistent onshore flow from the South Atlantic has kept conditions cooler than recent warmer spells, with hourly observations and updated runs clustering daily highs in this narrow band rather than pushing toward 20°C or higher. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, while the absence of strong warming signals or clear skies supports the current market distribution ahead of final daily measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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