Recent observations from Warsaw weather stations and GFS model runs show daytime temperatures peaking near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered rain, aligning closely with the market's 99% implied probability for a 20°C high. These conditions, typical for early September in the region with moderating Atlantic airflow, have kept solar insolation limited and prevented significant afternoon warming above observed values. Official measurements through midday confirm stabilization around this level rather than the higher readings seen earlier in the month. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station data could still shift the recorded maximum, though current consensus across monitoring agencies makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 10 de setembro?
20°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
15°C ou menos <1%
$124,916 Vol.
$124,916 Vol.
10 set 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
15°C ou menos <1%
$124,916 Vol.
$124,916 Vol.
10 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,741 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$19,694 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$25,551 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$44,278 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,993 Vol.
99%
21°C
$5,293 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,843 Vol.
1%
23°C
$595 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Warsaw weather stations and GFS model runs show daytime temperatures peaking near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered rain, aligning closely with the market's 99% implied probability for a 20°C high. These conditions, typical for early September in the region with moderating Atlantic airflow, have kept solar insolation limited and prevented significant afternoon warming above observed values. Official measurements through midday confirm stabilization around this level rather than the higher readings seen earlier in the month. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station data could still shift the recorded maximum, though current consensus across monitoring agencies makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$124,916Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from Warsaw weather stations and GFS model runs show daytime temperatures peaking near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered rain, aligning closely with the market's 99% implied probability for a 20°C high. These conditions, typical for early September in the region with moderating Atlantic airflow, have kept solar insolation limited and prevented significant afternoon warming above observed values. Official measurements through midday confirm stabilization around this level rather than the higher readings seen earlier in the month. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station data could still shift the recorded maximum, though current consensus across monitoring agencies makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$124,916Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from Warsaw weather stations and GFS model runs show daytime temperatures peaking near 19°C under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered rain, aligning closely with the market's 99% implied probability for a 20°C high. These conditions, typical for early September in the region with moderating Atlantic airflow, have kept solar insolation limited and prevented significant afternoon warming above observed values. Official measurements through midday confirm stabilization around this level rather than the higher readings seen earlier in the month. A sudden break in cloud cover or revised station data could still shift the recorded maximum, though current consensus across monitoring agencies makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions