Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai under stable high-pressure conditions on September 12, with light easterly winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk supporting daytime heating to a peak near 29°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology slightly above the 27°C September average high, as subsidence and clear skies enhance solar insolation without significant frontal or tropical influences. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 50% and 28°C at 38.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30°C or below 28°C absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or humidity. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 12 de setembro?
29°C 50%
28°C 38%
30°C 8%
31°C 3%
NOVO
$14,525 Vol.
NOVO
$14,525 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
38%
29°C
50%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 38%
30°C 8%
31°C 3%
NOVO
$14,525 Vol.
NOVO
$14,525 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$370 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$740 Vol.
1%
27°C
$890 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5,750 Vol.
38%
29°C
$1,436 Vol.
50%
30°C
$2,143 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,200 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,494 Vol.
1%
33°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou mais
$249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai under stable high-pressure conditions on September 12, with light easterly winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk supporting daytime heating to a peak near 29°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology slightly above the 27°C September average high, as subsidence and clear skies enhance solar insolation without significant frontal or tropical influences. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 50% and 28°C at 38.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30°C or below 28°C absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or humidity. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,525Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai under stable high-pressure conditions on September 12, with light easterly winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk supporting daytime heating to a peak near 29°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology slightly above the 27°C September average high, as subsidence and clear skies enhance solar insolation without significant frontal or tropical influences. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 50% and 28°C at 38.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30°C or below 28°C absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or humidity. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,525Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai under stable high-pressure conditions on September 12, with light easterly winds, minimal cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk supporting daytime heating to a peak near 29°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology slightly above the 27°C September average high, as subsidence and clear skies enhance solar insolation without significant frontal or tropical influences. Trader consensus, with 29°C at 50% and 28°C at 38.5% implied probability, reflects tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning low odds to outliers above 30°C or below 28°C absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or humidity. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine the exact maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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