**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow and high humidity.** Current conditions feature dew points near 76-77°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the minimum well above the long-term September 13 average of 73°F. Recent model runs show no frontal passages or significant rain-cooled air masses to drive the reading into the mid-70s or lower, consistent with the market's low odds (under 4%) for 73°F or below. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected localized thunderstorm or revised station measurement deviating from the forecast envelope, though official guidance remains stable through the overnight period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Houston em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Houston em 13 de setembro?
78-79°F 96%
74-75°F 90%
76-77°F 50%
71°F ou menos 6%
$577 Vol.
$577 Vol.
13 set 2026
71°F ou menos
6%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
90%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
91%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
78-79°F 96%
74-75°F 90%
76-77°F 50%
71°F ou menos 6%
$577 Vol.
$577 Vol.
13 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
90%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$220 Vol.
91%
80-81°F
$343 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow and high humidity.**
Current conditions feature dew points near 76-77°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the minimum well above the long-term September 13 average of 73°F. Recent model runs show no frontal passages or significant rain-cooled air masses to drive the reading into the mid-70s or lower, consistent with the market's low odds (under 4%) for 73°F or below. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected localized thunderstorm or revised station measurement deviating from the forecast envelope, though official guidance remains stable through the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$577Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow and high humidity.**
Current conditions feature dew points near 76-77°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the minimum well above the long-term September 13 average of 73°F. Recent model runs show no frontal passages or significant rain-cooled air masses to drive the reading into the mid-70s or lower, consistent with the market's low odds (under 4%) for 73°F or below. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected localized thunderstorm or revised station measurement deviating from the forecast envelope, though official guidance remains stable through the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$577Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow and high humidity.** Current conditions feature dew points near 76-77°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the minimum well above the long-term September 13 average of 73°F. Recent model runs show no frontal passages or significant rain-cooled air masses to drive the reading into the mid-70s or lower, consistent with the market's low odds (under 4%) for 73°F or below. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected localized thunderstorm or revised station measurement deviating from the forecast envelope, though official guidance remains stable through the overnight period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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