**Market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, align with current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from multiple models.** Real-time readings and updated runs show a daily maximum near 31°C (roughly 88°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling. This matches the typical late-summer thermal maximum for the region, with surface observations from Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport and nearby stations confirming afternoon peaks in that range. Traders have priced in the low probability of deviation because official verification criteria emphasize station-reported maxima, and no significant model spread or incoming frontal activity suggests revision. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution would involve post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the peak reading or an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 31°C, both of which remain low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 14 de setembro?
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$3,549 Vol.
$3,549 Vol.
14 set 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$3,549 Vol.
$3,549 Vol.
14 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
Não
27°C
$42 Vol.
Não
28°C
$297 Vol.
Não
29°C
$500 Vol.
Não
30°C
$863 Vol.
Não
31°C
$559 Vol.
Sim
32°C
$609 Vol.
Não
33°C
$208 Vol.
Não
34°C
$370 Vol.
Não
35°C
$10 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$80 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, align with current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from multiple models.** Real-time readings and updated runs show a daily maximum near 31°C (roughly 88°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling. This matches the typical late-summer thermal maximum for the region, with surface observations from Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport and nearby stations confirming afternoon peaks in that range.
Traders have priced in the low probability of deviation because official verification criteria emphasize station-reported maxima, and no significant model spread or incoming frontal activity suggests revision. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution would involve post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the peak reading or an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 31°C, both of which remain low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,549Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, align with current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from multiple models.** Real-time readings and updated runs show a daily maximum near 31°C (roughly 88°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling. This matches the typical late-summer thermal maximum for the region, with surface observations from Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport and nearby stations confirming afternoon peaks in that range.
Traders have priced in the low probability of deviation because official verification criteria emphasize station-reported maxima, and no significant model spread or incoming frontal activity suggests revision. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution would involve post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the peak reading or an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 31°C, both of which remain low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,549Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Zhengzhou on September 14, 2026, align with current observational data and short-range forecast consensus from multiple models.** Real-time readings and updated runs show a daily maximum near 31°C (roughly 88°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and minimal cloud cover limiting convective cooling. This matches the typical late-summer thermal maximum for the region, with surface observations from Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport and nearby stations confirming afternoon peaks in that range. Traders have priced in the low probability of deviation because official verification criteria emphasize station-reported maxima, and no significant model spread or incoming frontal activity suggests revision. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution would involve post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the peak reading or an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 31°C, both of which remain low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions