**Official meteorological observations and forecast models from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) have confirmed a sharp cold air intrusion over Buenos Aires on September 16, 2026, driving minimum temperatures to 1°C or below.** Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure allowed surface temperatures to plummet overnight, consistent with polar air mass advection and typical springtime variability in the region. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, backed by real-time station data and model agreement showing no significant warming until after dawn. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from the primary urban station exceeding 1°C due to microclimate effects or measurement timing differences, though current evidence makes such an outcome highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 16 de setembro?
1°C ou menos 100.0%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$1,618 Vol.
$1,618 Vol.
1°C ou menos
100%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C ou mais
<1%
1°C ou menos 100.0%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$1,618 Vol.
$1,618 Vol.
1°C ou menos
100%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official meteorological observations and forecast models from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) have confirmed a sharp cold air intrusion over Buenos Aires on September 16, 2026, driving minimum temperatures to 1°C or below.** Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure allowed surface temperatures to plummet overnight, consistent with polar air mass advection and typical springtime variability in the region. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, backed by real-time station data and model agreement showing no significant warming until after dawn. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from the primary urban station exceeding 1°C due to microclimate effects or measurement timing differences, though current evidence makes such an outcome highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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