Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on September 14 indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C, with trader consensus split between those two outcomes due to model variability in peak timing and intensity. Easterly to northeasterly winds around 5–15 km/h, combined with 60% thunderstorm probability and high humidity near 75–85%, introduce uncertainty: afternoon convection could deliver brief cooling showers or allow brief clearing that pushes readings slightly higher. Official observations from the prior day showed maxima of 31–32°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, while ensemble guidance highlights modest spread from atmospheric moisture and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and real-time radar trends ahead of peak heating hours remain the key near-term drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 14 de setembro?
32°C 39%
31°C 35%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
$12,322 Vol.
$12,322 Vol.
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
35%
32°C
39%
33°C
15%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 35%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
$12,322 Vol.
$12,322 Vol.
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
35%
32°C
39%
33°C
15%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on September 14 indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C, with trader consensus split between those two outcomes due to model variability in peak timing and intensity. Easterly to northeasterly winds around 5–15 km/h, combined with 60% thunderstorm probability and high humidity near 75–85%, introduce uncertainty: afternoon convection could deliver brief cooling showers or allow brief clearing that pushes readings slightly higher. Official observations from the prior day showed maxima of 31–32°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, while ensemble guidance highlights modest spread from atmospheric moisture and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and real-time radar trends ahead of peak heating hours remain the key near-term drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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