**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded an afternoon peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus for the 33°C outcome.** Real-time station data from the headquarters site showed temperatures climbing steadily through the early afternoon under typical late-summer conditions, with the daily maximum aligning precisely with the 33°C threshold used for market resolution. This outcome matches September climatological norms for Hong Kong, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but can reach the low-to-mid 30s during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. The overwhelming 99.8% implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in the finalized “Absolute Daily Max” figure from the Observatory’s daily extract. Only an unexpected revision in official post-processing or use of an alternate reference station could shift resolution, though historical practice makes such changes highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 12 de setembro?
33°C 99.8%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,334 Vol.
$130,334 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,334 Vol.
$130,334 Vol.
12 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,704 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$26,674 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,083 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,215 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou mais
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded an afternoon peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus for the 33°C outcome.** Real-time station data from the headquarters site showed temperatures climbing steadily through the early afternoon under typical late-summer conditions, with the daily maximum aligning precisely with the 33°C threshold used for market resolution. This outcome matches September climatological norms for Hong Kong, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but can reach the low-to-mid 30s during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. The overwhelming 99.8% implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in the finalized “Absolute Daily Max” figure from the Observatory’s daily extract. Only an unexpected revision in official post-processing or use of an alternate reference station could shift resolution, though historical practice makes such changes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$130,334Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded an afternoon peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus for the 33°C outcome.** Real-time station data from the headquarters site showed temperatures climbing steadily through the early afternoon under typical late-summer conditions, with the daily maximum aligning precisely with the 33°C threshold used for market resolution. This outcome matches September climatological norms for Hong Kong, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but can reach the low-to-mid 30s during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. The overwhelming 99.8% implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in the finalized “Absolute Daily Max” figure from the Observatory’s daily extract. Only an unexpected revision in official post-processing or use of an alternate reference station could shift resolution, though historical practice makes such changes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$130,334Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded an afternoon peak of 33.1°C on September 12, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus for the 33°C outcome.** Real-time station data from the headquarters site showed temperatures climbing steadily through the early afternoon under typical late-summer conditions, with the daily maximum aligning precisely with the 33°C threshold used for market resolution. This outcome matches September climatological norms for Hong Kong, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but can reach the low-to-mid 30s during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. The overwhelming 99.8% implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in the finalized “Absolute Daily Max” figure from the Observatory’s daily extract. Only an unexpected revision in official post-processing or use of an alternate reference station could shift resolution, though historical practice makes such changes highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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