Current forecasts from numerical models and observational guidance point to an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light southeasterly winds, and limited marine layer cooling that keeps temperatures above the long-term average low of roughly 64°F. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability. Traders appear to discount higher bins given the absence of unusual warming or blocking patterns, while lower outcomes remain possible only if fog or radiational cooling intensifies beyond current model runs. Updated NWS and GFS guidance ahead of the overnight period will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 14 de setembro?
68-69°F 66%
78°F ou mais 66%
70-71°F 37%
62-63°F 35%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
59°F ou menos
11%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
66%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
13%
78°F ou mais
66%
68-69°F 66%
78°F ou mais 66%
70-71°F 37%
62-63°F 35%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
59°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
11%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
13%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
35%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$49 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$112 Vol.
66%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
37%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
35%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
13%
78°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical models and observational guidance point to an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light southeasterly winds, and limited marine layer cooling that keeps temperatures above the long-term average low of roughly 64°F. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability. Traders appear to discount higher bins given the absence of unusual warming or blocking patterns, while lower outcomes remain possible only if fog or radiational cooling intensifies beyond current model runs. Updated NWS and GFS guidance ahead of the overnight period will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$161Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical models and observational guidance point to an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light southeasterly winds, and limited marine layer cooling that keeps temperatures above the long-term average low of roughly 64°F. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability. Traders appear to discount higher bins given the absence of unusual warming or blocking patterns, while lower outcomes remain possible only if fog or radiational cooling intensifies beyond current model runs. Updated NWS and GFS guidance ahead of the overnight period will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$161Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical models and observational guidance point to an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light southeasterly winds, and limited marine layer cooling that keeps temperatures above the long-term average low of roughly 64°F. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 68-69°F outcome at 66% implied probability. Traders appear to discount higher bins given the absence of unusual warming or blocking patterns, while lower outcomes remain possible only if fog or radiational cooling intensifies beyond current model runs. Updated NWS and GFS guidance ahead of the overnight period will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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