Recent forecast runs and real-time observations position 20°C as the leading outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus across ECMWF and GFS models for a daytime maximum near that threshold. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and moderate westerly winds have limited solar heating over Amsterdam on September 13, keeping temperatures from exceeding typical mid-September values around the 19.5°C climatological average. Current readings hovering in the upper teens with high humidity further support trader positioning toward 20°C or 21°C, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below align with limited warming potential under stable Atlantic flow. Updated model guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 13 de setembro?
20°C 55%
21°C 36%
19°C 8%
22°C 5%
NOVO
$20,728 Vol.
NOVO
$20,728 Vol.
13 set 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
8%
20°C
55%
21°C
36%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 55%
21°C 36%
19°C 8%
22°C 5%
NOVO
$20,728 Vol.
NOVO
$20,728 Vol.
13 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$137 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$887 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,788 Vol.
8%
20°C
$5,395 Vol.
55%
21°C
$5,914 Vol.
36%
22°C
$3,126 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,324 Vol.
1%
24°C ou mais
$750 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs and real-time observations position 20°C as the leading outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus across ECMWF and GFS models for a daytime maximum near that threshold. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and moderate westerly winds have limited solar heating over Amsterdam on September 13, keeping temperatures from exceeding typical mid-September values around the 19.5°C climatological average. Current readings hovering in the upper teens with high humidity further support trader positioning toward 20°C or 21°C, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below align with limited warming potential under stable Atlantic flow. Updated model guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20,728Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs and real-time observations position 20°C as the leading outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus across ECMWF and GFS models for a daytime maximum near that threshold. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and moderate westerly winds have limited solar heating over Amsterdam on September 13, keeping temperatures from exceeding typical mid-September values around the 19.5°C climatological average. Current readings hovering in the upper teens with high humidity further support trader positioning toward 20°C or 21°C, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below align with limited warming potential under stable Atlantic flow. Updated model guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,728Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs and real-time observations position 20°C as the leading outcome, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus across ECMWF and GFS models for a daytime maximum near that threshold. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle, and moderate westerly winds have limited solar heating over Amsterdam on September 13, keeping temperatures from exceeding typical mid-September values around the 19.5°C climatological average. Current readings hovering in the upper teens with high humidity further support trader positioning toward 20°C or 21°C, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below align with limited warming potential under stable Atlantic flow. Updated model guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions