Current forecasts from European models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 14, with the daily minimum likely falling in the 13–16°C range under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This stems from a stable pressure pattern and Atlantic air masses suppressing typical early-autumn chill, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or shower passage can alter the exact minimum by several degrees, while historical analogs show wide variability on this date. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than the current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 14 de setembro?
17°C ou mais 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C 39%
7°C ou menos
2%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
37%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C ou mais
98%
17°C ou mais 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C 39%
7°C ou menos
2%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
37%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 14, with the daily minimum likely falling in the 13–16°C range under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This stems from a stable pressure pattern and Atlantic air masses suppressing typical early-autumn chill, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or shower passage can alter the exact minimum by several degrees, while historical analogs show wide variability on this date. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than the current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions