Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 63–64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a cold front that clears lingering moisture from the prior day’s rain. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiational cooling under light winds, while the post-frontal air mass limits daytime recovery and keeps the diurnal range modest. Trader consensus remains evenly split across bins because small shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat-island effects can move the exact low by a degree or two. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows in the low-to-mid 60s, providing context for the tight probability distribution. Updated National Weather Service model runs and surface observations through the weekend will further refine the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 14 de setembro?
57°F ou menos 48%
76°F ou mais 48%
66-67°F 40%
62-63°F 39%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
57°F ou menos
48%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
33%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
40%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
33%
76°F ou mais
48%
57°F ou menos 48%
76°F ou mais 48%
66-67°F 40%
62-63°F 39%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
57°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
48%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
33%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
33%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
34%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
40%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
33%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
33%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
33%
76°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 63–64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a cold front that clears lingering moisture from the prior day’s rain. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiational cooling under light winds, while the post-frontal air mass limits daytime recovery and keeps the diurnal range modest. Trader consensus remains evenly split across bins because small shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat-island effects can move the exact low by a degree or two. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows in the low-to-mid 60s, providing context for the tight probability distribution. Updated National Weather Service model runs and surface observations through the weekend will further refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 63–64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a cold front that clears lingering moisture from the prior day’s rain. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiational cooling under light winds, while the post-frontal air mass limits daytime recovery and keeps the diurnal range modest. Trader consensus remains evenly split across bins because small shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat-island effects can move the exact low by a degree or two. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows in the low-to-mid 60s, providing context for the tight probability distribution. Updated National Weather Service model runs and surface observations through the weekend will further refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 63–64°F in New York City on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a cold front that clears lingering moisture from the prior day’s rain. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will promote radiational cooling under light winds, while the post-frontal air mass limits daytime recovery and keeps the diurnal range modest. Trader consensus remains evenly split across bins because small shifts in wind speed, cloud cover, or urban heat-island effects can move the exact low by a degree or two. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows in the low-to-mid 60s, providing context for the tight probability distribution. Updated National Weather Service model runs and surface observations through the weekend will further refine the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions