**Forecast models show strong consensus for an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 13, 2026, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread rain.** Multiple sources, including globalmeteo, WindBorne, and LocalConditions, project a minimum near 71–72°F amid 100% rain chances and tropical-level humidity that limits radiational cooling. Cloud cover and southeasterly flow maintain elevated temperatures overnight, with the primary uncertainty centered on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. This explains the tight market split between the 72–73°F (41.5%) and 70–71°F (38.0%) bins, as traders weigh minor model variations in dew point depression and boundary-layer mixing against official station measurements at Central Park. Updated National Weather Service guidance or hourly observations on the morning of the 13th could refine the final outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 13 de setembro?
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 38%
66-67°F 14%
68-69°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
63°F ou menos
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F ou mais
1%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 38%
66-67°F 14%
68-69°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
63°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
14%
68-69°F
$259 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$56 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$152 Vol.
41%
74-75°F
$241 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
1%
82°F ou mais
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show strong consensus for an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 13, 2026, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread rain.** Multiple sources, including globalmeteo, WindBorne, and LocalConditions, project a minimum near 71–72°F amid 100% rain chances and tropical-level humidity that limits radiational cooling. Cloud cover and southeasterly flow maintain elevated temperatures overnight, with the primary uncertainty centered on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. This explains the tight market split between the 72–73°F (41.5%) and 70–71°F (38.0%) bins, as traders weigh minor model variations in dew point depression and boundary-layer mixing against official station measurements at Central Park. Updated National Weather Service guidance or hourly observations on the morning of the 13th could refine the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$722Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show strong consensus for an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 13, 2026, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread rain.** Multiple sources, including globalmeteo, WindBorne, and LocalConditions, project a minimum near 71–72°F amid 100% rain chances and tropical-level humidity that limits radiational cooling. Cloud cover and southeasterly flow maintain elevated temperatures overnight, with the primary uncertainty centered on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. This explains the tight market split between the 72–73°F (41.5%) and 70–71°F (38.0%) bins, as traders weigh minor model variations in dew point depression and boundary-layer mixing against official station measurements at Central Park. Updated National Weather Service guidance or hourly observations on the morning of the 13th could refine the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$722Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show strong consensus for an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 13, 2026, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread rain.** Multiple sources, including globalmeteo, WindBorne, and LocalConditions, project a minimum near 71–72°F amid 100% rain chances and tropical-level humidity that limits radiational cooling. Cloud cover and southeasterly flow maintain elevated temperatures overnight, with the primary uncertainty centered on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and any brief clearing that could allow a slightly lower reading. This explains the tight market split between the 72–73°F (41.5%) and 70–71°F (38.0%) bins, as traders weigh minor model variations in dew point depression and boundary-layer mixing against official station measurements at Central Park. Updated National Weather Service guidance or hourly observations on the morning of the 13th could refine the final outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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