Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 14, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under high pressure with limited cloud cover and strong September solar insolation. This setup supports afternoon peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent days and above the long-term September average of roughly 92°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 98–101°F ranges because short-range ensembles show minor sensitivity to exact timing of any scattered clouds or wind shifts, while lower or higher bins reflect residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the daily maximum within a narrow 2–3°F window. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will further refine the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 14 de setembro?
98-99°F 32%
96-97°F 30%
100-101°F 26%
94-95°F 23%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
89°F ou menos
7%
32°C-33°C
8%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
23%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
18%
106-107°F
12%
108°F ou mais
8%
98-99°F 32%
96-97°F 30%
100-101°F 26%
94-95°F 23%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
89°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C-33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
13%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
23%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
30%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
32%
100-101°F
$103 Vol.
26%
102-103°F
$5 Vol.
10%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
18%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
12%
108°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 14, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under high pressure with limited cloud cover and strong September solar insolation. This setup supports afternoon peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent days and above the long-term September average of roughly 92°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 98–101°F ranges because short-range ensembles show minor sensitivity to exact timing of any scattered clouds or wind shifts, while lower or higher bins reflect residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the daily maximum within a narrow 2–3°F window. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will further refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$108Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 14, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under high pressure with limited cloud cover and strong September solar insolation. This setup supports afternoon peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent days and above the long-term September average of roughly 92°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 98–101°F ranges because short-range ensembles show minor sensitivity to exact timing of any scattered clouds or wind shifts, while lower or higher bins reflect residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the daily maximum within a narrow 2–3°F window. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will further refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 14, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under high pressure with limited cloud cover and strong September solar insolation. This setup supports afternoon peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with recent days and above the long-term September average of roughly 92°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 98–101°F ranges because short-range ensembles show minor sensitivity to exact timing of any scattered clouds or wind shifts, while lower or higher bins reflect residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the daily maximum within a narrow 2–3°F window. Updated National Weather Service guidance and next model runs will further refine the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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