The market's near-certain pricing on 72-73°F reflects the official recorded high temperature for San Francisco on September 11, 2026, as measured by National Weather Service stations such as downtown or airport sites. Recent model runs and surface observations confirmed stable marine layer conditions with afternoon highs in that narrow range, consistent with climatological averages near 71°F for the date and lacking any heat-wave drivers like offshore flow or anomalous warming. This outcome aligns with verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternate station reading outside the primary network, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 11 de setembro?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$61,006 Vol.
$61,006 Vol.
11 set 2026
63°F ou menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
21-22°C
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou mais
<1%
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$61,006 Vol.
$61,006 Vol.
11 set 2026
63°F ou menos
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,708 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,609 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$4,798 Vol.
<1%
21-22°C
$13,185 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$7,819 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$11,385 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,661 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,987 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou mais
$2,711 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on 72-73°F reflects the official recorded high temperature for San Francisco on September 11, 2026, as measured by National Weather Service stations such as downtown or airport sites. Recent model runs and surface observations confirmed stable marine layer conditions with afternoon highs in that narrow range, consistent with climatological averages near 71°F for the date and lacking any heat-wave drivers like offshore flow or anomalous warming. This outcome aligns with verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternate station reading outside the primary network, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$61,006Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on 72-73°F reflects the official recorded high temperature for San Francisco on September 11, 2026, as measured by National Weather Service stations such as downtown or airport sites. Recent model runs and surface observations confirmed stable marine layer conditions with afternoon highs in that narrow range, consistent with climatological averages near 71°F for the date and lacking any heat-wave drivers like offshore flow or anomalous warming. This outcome aligns with verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternate station reading outside the primary network, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,006Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's near-certain pricing on 72-73°F reflects the official recorded high temperature for San Francisco on September 11, 2026, as measured by National Weather Service stations such as downtown or airport sites. Recent model runs and surface observations confirmed stable marine layer conditions with afternoon highs in that narrow range, consistent with climatological averages near 71°F for the date and lacking any heat-wave drivers like offshore flow or anomalous warming. This outcome aligns with verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternate station reading outside the primary network, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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