Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project daily highs near 90°F on September 11 amid typical late-summer humidity, sea breezes, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peaks. This aligns with historical September averages of 89–90°F and supports the market's leading 90–91°F outcome at 49% implied probability. Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures sustain elevated moisture and heat indices above 100°F, while steering patterns and model consensus show limited day-to-day variability absent stronger tropical influences. Traders appear focused on confirmation from updated runs ahead of the date, with lower-probability bins reflecting uncertainty around exact convective timing or localized cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami no dia 11 de setembro?
32,2-32,7°C 49%
30-31°C 27%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 20%
79°F ou menos
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
30-31°C
27%
88-89°F
23%
32,2-32,7°C
49%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
7%
98°F ou mais
5%
32,2-32,7°C 49%
30-31°C 27%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 20%
79°F ou menos
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
30-31°C
27%
88-89°F
23%
32,2-32,7°C
49%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
7%
98°F ou mais
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project daily highs near 90°F on September 11 amid typical late-summer humidity, sea breezes, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peaks. This aligns with historical September averages of 89–90°F and supports the market's leading 90–91°F outcome at 49% implied probability. Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures sustain elevated moisture and heat indices above 100°F, while steering patterns and model consensus show limited day-to-day variability absent stronger tropical influences. Traders appear focused on confirmation from updated runs ahead of the date, with lower-probability bins reflecting uncertainty around exact convective timing or localized cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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