Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 9 de setembro?
21°C 31%
22°C 28%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
17°C ou menos
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
31%
22°C
28%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 31%
22°C 28%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$3 Vol.
3%
18°C
$212 Vol.
3%
19°C
$208 Vol.
5%
20°C
$705 Vol.
18%
21°C
$666 Vol.
31%
22°C
$465 Vol.
28%
23°C
$332 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C ou mais
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,642Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,642Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from DWD and ECMWF ensembles shows a cold front advancing across southern Germany on September 9, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after September 8 highs near 31°C. This setup favors a daily maximum in the low 20s°C, aligning with the market's near-even implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C. Historical climatology places the September 9 average high at 20.7°C, and recent runs indicate modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could trim or sustain the peak by 1–2°C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model updates for clearer resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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