**Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C on September 8 in Munich, driven by a warm southerly flow under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling.** This setup, with afternoon highs reaching 28–30°C, aligns with recent DWD and ECMWF guidance showing warmer-than-average overnight conditions. Trader sentiment, however, assigns 43% implied probability to 12°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus, potential localized variations, or shifts in the steering pattern before the overnight minimum is recorded at official stations. Historical September 8 averages near 11°C provide context, but the present synoptic regime favors milder outcomes unless new data alter the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 8 de setembro?
17°C 47%
14°C 31%
18°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C ou menos
44%
13°C
28%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
47%
18°C
30%
19°C
25%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
7%
17°C 47%
14°C 31%
18°C 30%
13°C 28%
12°C ou menos
44%
13°C
28%
14°C
31%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
47%
18°C
30%
19°C
25%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C on September 8 in Munich, driven by a warm southerly flow under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling.** This setup, with afternoon highs reaching 28–30°C, aligns with recent DWD and ECMWF guidance showing warmer-than-average overnight conditions. Trader sentiment, however, assigns 43% implied probability to 12°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus, potential localized variations, or shifts in the steering pattern before the overnight minimum is recorded at official stations. Historical September 8 averages near 11°C provide context, but the present synoptic regime favors milder outcomes unless new data alter the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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