**Forecast models and official outlooks from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on September 9, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability.** Southerly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and strong September insolation under high pressure are sustaining heat, with heat indices expected near 105–108°F even if actual air temperatures peak around 97–100°F. Spotty afternoon convection tied to a weak Gulf disturbance offers limited cooling potential and low coverage, keeping most areas on track for the upper 90s. Recent days’ readings near 100–101°F and the absence of a stronger front reinforce trader focus on the narrow 96–101°F range, while the slim odds on 102°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model deviation or unexpected clear-sky amplification before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 9 de setembro?
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 3.4%
$14,278 Vol.
$14,278 Vol.
9 set 2026
87°F ou menos
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
32-32,7°C
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F ou mais
1%
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 3.4%
$14,278 Vol.
$14,278 Vol.
9 set 2026
87°F ou menos
$739 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$274 Vol.
<1%
32-32,7°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$268 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,337 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$2,943 Vol.
28%
98-99°F
$5,706 Vol.
55%
100-101°F
$1,459 Vol.
15%
102-103°F
$284 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$237 Vol.
<1%
106°F ou mais
$500 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official outlooks from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on September 9, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability.** Southerly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and strong September insolation under high pressure are sustaining heat, with heat indices expected near 105–108°F even if actual air temperatures peak around 97–100°F. Spotty afternoon convection tied to a weak Gulf disturbance offers limited cooling potential and low coverage, keeping most areas on track for the upper 90s. Recent days’ readings near 100–101°F and the absence of a stronger front reinforce trader focus on the narrow 96–101°F range, while the slim odds on 102°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model deviation or unexpected clear-sky amplification before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,278Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official outlooks from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on September 9, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability.** Southerly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and strong September insolation under high pressure are sustaining heat, with heat indices expected near 105–108°F even if actual air temperatures peak around 97–100°F. Spotty afternoon convection tied to a weak Gulf disturbance offers limited cooling potential and low coverage, keeping most areas on track for the upper 90s. Recent days’ readings near 100–101°F and the absence of a stronger front reinforce trader focus on the narrow 96–101°F range, while the slim odds on 102°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model deviation or unexpected clear-sky amplification before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,278Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official outlooks from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on September 9, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability.** Southerly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and strong September insolation under high pressure are sustaining heat, with heat indices expected near 105–108°F even if actual air temperatures peak around 97–100°F. Spotty afternoon convection tied to a weak Gulf disturbance offers limited cooling potential and low coverage, keeping most areas on track for the upper 90s. Recent days’ readings near 100–101°F and the absence of a stronger front reinforce trader focus on the narrow 96–101°F range, while the slim odds on 102°F+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model deviation or unexpected clear-sky amplification before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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