**Consensus forecasts from multiple models position 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s September 9 high temperature.** Official and private sources, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological updates, project partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h, yielding daytime maxima clustered between 27–30°C (roughly 82–86°F). Recent observations show today’s highs near 29–31°C under similar conditions, supporting a modest cooling or stabilization trend into tomorrow without strong frontal passages or moisture surges. Historical September baselines for Shanghai average around 27–29°C, aligning with current model consensus and reducing outlier probabilities. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with traders weighting the most probable bins based on ensemble guidance and minimal expected deviation from recent trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 9 de setembro?
28°C 57%
29°C 37%
27°C 4%
30°C 3%
$14,783 Vol.
$14,783 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
57%
29°C
37%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 57%
29°C 37%
27°C 4%
30°C 3%
$14,783 Vol.
$14,783 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
57%
29°C
37%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from multiple models position 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s September 9 high temperature.** Official and private sources, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological updates, project partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h, yielding daytime maxima clustered between 27–30°C (roughly 82–86°F). Recent observations show today’s highs near 29–31°C under similar conditions, supporting a modest cooling or stabilization trend into tomorrow without strong frontal passages or moisture surges. Historical September baselines for Shanghai average around 27–29°C, aligning with current model consensus and reducing outlier probabilities. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with traders weighting the most probable bins based on ensemble guidance and minimal expected deviation from recent trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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