**Persistent high pressure and southeasterly flow are keeping Austin under hot, humid conditions with limited overnight cooling.** Official National Weather Service and affiliated forecasts for September 10 project a daily minimum in the mid- to upper 70s (around 76–78°F), consistent with recent observations of lows in the upper 70s amid above-normal temperatures and heat indices near or above 105°F. Model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or moisture through the period, with only isolated afternoon shower chances and no cold front or significant radiational cooling expected. Historical September minimums in Austin typically fall in the low- to mid-70s, providing context for the current outlook. The near-even market split between 69°F-or-below and 88°F-or-higher outcomes reflects trader assessment of tail risks in a stable but uncertain warm regime, while narrower bins around typical values carry lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and evening observations will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 10 de setembro?
88°F ou mais alta 89%
69°F ou menos 83%
84-85°F 39%
70-71°F 38%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
69°F ou menos
83%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
39%
30-30,5°C
38%
88°F ou mais alta
89%
88°F ou mais alta 89%
69°F ou menos 83%
84-85°F 39%
70-71°F 38%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
83%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
24%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
23%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
39%
30-30,5°C
$0 Vol.
38%
88°F ou mais alta
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and southeasterly flow are keeping Austin under hot, humid conditions with limited overnight cooling.** Official National Weather Service and affiliated forecasts for September 10 project a daily minimum in the mid- to upper 70s (around 76–78°F), consistent with recent observations of lows in the upper 70s amid above-normal temperatures and heat indices near or above 105°F.
Model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or moisture through the period, with only isolated afternoon shower chances and no cold front or significant radiational cooling expected. Historical September minimums in Austin typically fall in the low- to mid-70s, providing context for the current outlook. The near-even market split between 69°F-or-below and 88°F-or-higher outcomes reflects trader assessment of tail risks in a stable but uncertain warm regime, while narrower bins around typical values carry lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and evening observations will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and southeasterly flow are keeping Austin under hot, humid conditions with limited overnight cooling.** Official National Weather Service and affiliated forecasts for September 10 project a daily minimum in the mid- to upper 70s (around 76–78°F), consistent with recent observations of lows in the upper 70s amid above-normal temperatures and heat indices near or above 105°F.
Model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or moisture through the period, with only isolated afternoon shower chances and no cold front or significant radiational cooling expected. Historical September minimums in Austin typically fall in the low- to mid-70s, providing context for the current outlook. The near-even market split between 69°F-or-below and 88°F-or-higher outcomes reflects trader assessment of tail risks in a stable but uncertain warm regime, while narrower bins around typical values carry lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and evening observations will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high pressure and southeasterly flow are keeping Austin under hot, humid conditions with limited overnight cooling.** Official National Weather Service and affiliated forecasts for September 10 project a daily minimum in the mid- to upper 70s (around 76–78°F), consistent with recent observations of lows in the upper 70s amid above-normal temperatures and heat indices near or above 105°F. Model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or moisture through the period, with only isolated afternoon shower chances and no cold front or significant radiational cooling expected. Historical September minimums in Austin typically fall in the low- to mid-70s, providing context for the current outlook. The near-even market split between 69°F-or-below and 88°F-or-higher outcomes reflects trader assessment of tail risks in a stable but uncertain warm regime, while narrower bins around typical values carry lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and evening observations will be key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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