Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private models consensus forecasting a sunny high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8. Recent days have seen consecutive 100°F readings at DFW amid 52 dry days and strengthening ridging that limits cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the 100–103°F range dominating market-implied odds, as modest differences in afternoon dew points, wind speeds near 5–10 mph, and boundary-layer heating determine whether the peak lands in the lower or upper end of that window. Historical September averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the stable pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas no dia 8 de setembro?
100-101°F 38%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 28%
96-97°F 18%
91°F ou menos
4%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
16%
110°F ou mais
10%
100-101°F 38%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 28%
96-97°F 18%
91°F ou menos
4%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
16%
110°F ou mais
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and southerly flow are sustaining above-average heat across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private models consensus forecasting a sunny high near 101°F for Dallas on September 8. Recent days have seen consecutive 100°F readings at DFW amid 52 dry days and strengthening ridging that limits cloud cover and mixing. This setup favors the 100–103°F range dominating market-implied odds, as modest differences in afternoon dew points, wind speeds near 5–10 mph, and boundary-layer heating determine whether the peak lands in the lower or upper end of that window. Historical September averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread remains narrow given the stable pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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