**Market-implied odds show the tightest clustering between 36°C and 37°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts for Jeddah on September 6.** Global models indicate the daily maximum will hinge on subtle differences in northwest wind strength, Red Sea moisture advection, and afternoon cloud cover that modulate surface heating. With typical September climatology placing mean highs near 35–37°C, current guidance clusters around this range but diverges on whether peak insolation pushes readings one degree higher or lower. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble spreads and local observations heavily, as even small shifts in boundary-layer conditions can alter the recorded maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 6 de setembro?
37°C 42%
36°C 34%
38°C 16%
35°C 8%
30°C ou menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
34%
37°C
42%
38°C
16%
39°C
5%
40°C ou mais
2%
37°C 42%
36°C 34%
38°C 16%
35°C 8%
30°C ou menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
34%
37°C
42%
38°C
16%
39°C
5%
40°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds show the tightest clustering between 36°C and 37°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts for Jeddah on September 6.** Global models indicate the daily maximum will hinge on subtle differences in northwest wind strength, Red Sea moisture advection, and afternoon cloud cover that modulate surface heating. With typical September climatology placing mean highs near 35–37°C, current guidance clusters around this range but diverges on whether peak insolation pushes readings one degree higher or lower. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble spreads and local observations heavily, as even small shifts in boundary-layer conditions can alter the recorded maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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