Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent high pressure and southerly flow will deliver sunny conditions and highs near 100°F across north Texas on September 7, driving the market's strong weighting toward the 98–101°F bins. Light winds and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support efficient daytime heating with heat indices above 105°F, while the lack of cloud cover or moisture limits any cooling. This setup sits well above the early-September climatological average of 92°F and aligns with the ongoing warm pattern observed through early September. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends cooler or warmer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas no dia 7 de setembro?
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 37%
94-95°F 12%
106-107°F 12%
89°F ou menos
2%
32°C-32,7°C (90-91°F)
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
12%
108°F ou mais
7%
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 37%
94-95°F 12%
106-107°F 12%
89°F ou menos
2%
32°C-32,7°C (90-91°F)
4%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
12%
108°F ou mais
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent high pressure and southerly flow will deliver sunny conditions and highs near 100°F across north Texas on September 7, driving the market's strong weighting toward the 98–101°F bins. Light winds and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will support efficient daytime heating with heat indices above 105°F, while the lack of cloud cover or moisture limits any cooling. This setup sits well above the early-September climatological average of 92°F and aligns with the ongoing warm pattern observed through early September. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends cooler or warmer.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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