**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 8, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F (upper 70s to low 80s range), aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 37.5% implied probability.** Persistent hot, humid conditions under a strong southerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows elevated well above the long-term September 8 average of ~73°F. Recent model runs show high consistency for this range, with daytime highs near 100–101°F and dew points supporting minimal temperature drops overnight. Traders are pricing in this consensus because short-range guidance (2 days out) has high skill, and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture changes are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Lower-probability bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast shifts or localized variations, while the clustered 24.5–25% outcomes around adjacent ranges capture remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and measurement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas no dia 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Dallas no dia 8 de setembro?
84-85°F 50%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 38%
86-87°F 23%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
71°F ou menos
22%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
9%
90°F ou mais
20%
84-85°F 50%
80-81°F 48%
82-83°F 38%
86-87°F 23%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
50%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
23%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
9%
90°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 8, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F (upper 70s to low 80s range), aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 37.5% implied probability.** Persistent hot, humid conditions under a strong southerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows elevated well above the long-term September 8 average of ~73°F. Recent model runs show high consistency for this range, with daytime highs near 100–101°F and dew points supporting minimal temperature drops overnight.
Traders are pricing in this consensus because short-range guidance (2 days out) has high skill, and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture changes are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Lower-probability bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast shifts or localized variations, while the clustered 24.5–25% outcomes around adjacent ranges capture remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 8, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F (upper 70s to low 80s range), aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 37.5% implied probability.** Persistent hot, humid conditions under a strong southerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows elevated well above the long-term September 8 average of ~73°F. Recent model runs show high consistency for this range, with daytime highs near 100–101°F and dew points supporting minimal temperature drops overnight.
Traders are pricing in this consensus because short-range guidance (2 days out) has high skill, and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture changes are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Lower-probability bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast shifts or localized variations, while the clustered 24.5–25% outcomes around adjacent ranges capture remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 8, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F (upper 70s to low 80s range), aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F outcome at 37.5% implied probability.** Persistent hot, humid conditions under a strong southerly flow and mostly clear skies are limiting overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows elevated well above the long-term September 8 average of ~73°F. Recent model runs show high consistency for this range, with daytime highs near 100–101°F and dew points supporting minimal temperature drops overnight. Traders are pricing in this consensus because short-range guidance (2 days out) has high skill, and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture changes are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Lower-probability bins reflect tail risks from minor forecast shifts or localized variations, while the clustered 24.5–25% outcomes around adjacent ranges capture remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and measurement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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