Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 74–77°F for San Francisco on September 10, driven by moderate onshore flow and a shallow marine layer limiting daytime heating after the recent 81°F peak on September 7. Trader consensus favoring 78–81°F reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger offshore influences or reduced cloud cover in some runs. Historical September 10 averages near 70.5°F provide context, while resolution hinges on official maximum readings at downtown stations. Updated NWS forecasts and final model guidance before midnight local time remain key inputs for position adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 10 de setembro?
27°C-27,2°C 27%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
71°F ou menos
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
26%
27°C-27,2°C
27%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
7%
30-30,5°C
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
27°C-27,2°C 27%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
71°F ou menos
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
26%
27°C-27,2°C
27%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
7%
30-30,5°C
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 74–77°F for San Francisco on September 10, driven by moderate onshore flow and a shallow marine layer limiting daytime heating after the recent 81°F peak on September 7. Trader consensus favoring 78–81°F reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger offshore influences or reduced cloud cover in some runs. Historical September 10 averages near 70.5°F provide context, while resolution hinges on official maximum readings at downtown stations. Updated NWS forecasts and final model guidance before midnight local time remain key inputs for position adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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