Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a daytime high near 33°C for Karachi on September 11, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate southwest winds off the Arabian Sea, and minimal precipitation risk that limits cooling or cloud cover. Persistent high humidity and stable pressure patterns have kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s°C, aligning closely with climatological baselines for early September in coastal Sindh. Trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome (57.5% implied probability) stems from this model consensus and low expected variability, while the smaller probabilities assigned to 32°C or 34°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local heat island effects ahead of official PMD verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi no dia 11 de setembro?
33°C 57%
34°C 25%
32°C 15%
35°C 4%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
15%
33°C
57%
34°C
25%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 25%
32°C 15%
35°C 4%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
15%
33°C
57%
34°C
25%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models converge on a daytime high near 33°C for Karachi on September 11, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate southwest winds off the Arabian Sea, and minimal precipitation risk that limits cooling or cloud cover. Persistent high humidity and stable pressure patterns have kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s°C, aligning closely with climatological baselines for early September in coastal Sindh. Trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome (57.5% implied probability) stems from this model consensus and low expected variability, while the smaller probabilities assigned to 32°C or 34°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local heat island effects ahead of official PMD verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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