Latest forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's September 9 high near 28–30 °C, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating after several days of clearer, warmer conditions near 33 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international ensembles align on modest cooling from northerly advection and partial cloudiness, keeping the peak below recent values while still above seasonal normals. Differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on small uncertainties in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact cloud fraction during peak afternoon hours; model spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, with slight preference for the lower end of the narrow range given the observed trend toward stabilization. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 9 de setembro?
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
27°C 18%
30°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
26°C ou menos
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
31%
29°C
32%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
27°C 18%
30°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$1,039 Vol.
6%
27°C
$885 Vol.
18%
28°C
$348 Vol.
31%
29°C
$2,876 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,673 Vol.
13%
31°C
$1,077 Vol.
5%
32°C
$377 Vol.
1%
33°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's September 9 high near 28–30 °C, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating after several days of clearer, warmer conditions near 33 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international ensembles align on modest cooling from northerly advection and partial cloudiness, keeping the peak below recent values while still above seasonal normals. Differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on small uncertainties in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact cloud fraction during peak afternoon hours; model spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, with slight preference for the lower end of the narrow range given the observed trend toward stabilization. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,220Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's September 9 high near 28–30 °C, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating after several days of clearer, warmer conditions near 33 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international ensembles align on modest cooling from northerly advection and partial cloudiness, keeping the peak below recent values while still above seasonal normals. Differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on small uncertainties in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact cloud fraction during peak afternoon hours; model spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, with slight preference for the lower end of the narrow range given the observed trend toward stabilization. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,220Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast consensus from multiple models places Wuhan's September 9 high near 28–30 °C, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating after several days of clearer, warmer conditions near 33 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international ensembles align on modest cooling from northerly advection and partial cloudiness, keeping the peak below recent values while still above seasonal normals. Differences between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on small uncertainties in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact cloud fraction during peak afternoon hours; model spreads remain narrow this close to the event. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, with slight preference for the lower end of the narrow range given the observed trend toward stabilization. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions