**Forecast models from sources like WindBorne Systems and local observations point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for Seattle on September 10, driven by persistent marine air, light northerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling.** Recent days have featured above-average highs near 70-76°F with minimal precipitation, keeping the boundary layer moist and stable. Historical September averages hover around 54°F for lows, but current conditions—overcast skies with 80%+ cloud cover and light winds under 5 mph—favor readings near 56-59°F rather than cooler outliers. Minor model differences in exact minimum timing or any late-night clearing explain the tight split between the 56-57°F and 58-59°F bins, which together hold nearly 80% of market-implied probability. Updated NWS guidance or fresh model runs ahead of sunset on the 9th could refine these ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seattle no dia 10 de setembro?
56-57°F 45%
58-59°F 39%
54-55°F 24%
52-53°F 15%
49°F ou menos
10%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
10%
20°C ou mais
11%
56-57°F 45%
58-59°F 39%
54-55°F 24%
52-53°F 15%
49°F ou menos
10%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
10%
20°C ou mais
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like WindBorne Systems and local observations point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for Seattle on September 10, driven by persistent marine air, light northerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling.** Recent days have featured above-average highs near 70-76°F with minimal precipitation, keeping the boundary layer moist and stable. Historical September averages hover around 54°F for lows, but current conditions—overcast skies with 80%+ cloud cover and light winds under 5 mph—favor readings near 56-59°F rather than cooler outliers. Minor model differences in exact minimum timing or any late-night clearing explain the tight split between the 56-57°F and 58-59°F bins, which together hold nearly 80% of market-implied probability. Updated NWS guidance or fresh model runs ahead of sunset on the 9th could refine these ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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