**Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 10, 2026, center on a high of 21–23°C amid widespread cloud cover, intermittent rain, and a low-pressure system driving instability.** Official alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight the risk of moderate to heavy rainfall (up to 70 mm possible) and gusty winds through Thursday, consistent with multiple meteorological sources showing suppressed daytime heating. Model runs, including those from Yr and other regional services, indicate peak temperatures near midday under mostly overcast skies, with rain reducing solar insolation and limiting the typical spring warming. September 2026 has already run several degrees cooler than the long-term average for the city, and the current pattern—marked by a frontal boundary and extratropical influences—reinforces this trend. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22°C (26%) and 23°C (23.5%), followed closely by 24°C and 21°C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: small differences in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, or wind direction could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting the balance between modest diurnal recovery and persistent moisture that historically caps highs in similar setups. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the day will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 10 de setembro?
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
24°C 18%
21°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
17°C ou menos
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22°C
26%
23°C
24%
24°C
18%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C ou mais
2%
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
24°C 18%
21°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
10 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$152 Vol.
1%
18°C
$32 Vol.
1%
19°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$694 Vol.
6%
21°C
$338 Vol.
16%
22°C
$300 Vol.
26%
23°C
$296 Vol.
24%
24°C
$375 Vol.
18%
25°C
$163 Vol.
6%
26°C
$157 Vol.
2%
27°C ou mais
$247 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 10, 2026, center on a high of 21–23°C amid widespread cloud cover, intermittent rain, and a low-pressure system driving instability.** Official alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight the risk of moderate to heavy rainfall (up to 70 mm possible) and gusty winds through Thursday, consistent with multiple meteorological sources showing suppressed daytime heating.
Model runs, including those from Yr and other regional services, indicate peak temperatures near midday under mostly overcast skies, with rain reducing solar insolation and limiting the typical spring warming. September 2026 has already run several degrees cooler than the long-term average for the city, and the current pattern—marked by a frontal boundary and extratropical influences—reinforces this trend.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22°C (26%) and 23°C (23.5%), followed closely by 24°C and 21°C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: small differences in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, or wind direction could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting the balance between modest diurnal recovery and persistent moisture that historically caps highs in similar setups. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the day will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,038Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 10, 2026, center on a high of 21–23°C amid widespread cloud cover, intermittent rain, and a low-pressure system driving instability.** Official alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight the risk of moderate to heavy rainfall (up to 70 mm possible) and gusty winds through Thursday, consistent with multiple meteorological sources showing suppressed daytime heating.
Model runs, including those from Yr and other regional services, indicate peak temperatures near midday under mostly overcast skies, with rain reducing solar insolation and limiting the typical spring warming. September 2026 has already run several degrees cooler than the long-term average for the city, and the current pattern—marked by a frontal boundary and extratropical influences—reinforces this trend.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22°C (26%) and 23°C (23.5%), followed closely by 24°C and 21°C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: small differences in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, or wind direction could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting the balance between modest diurnal recovery and persistent moisture that historically caps highs in similar setups. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the day will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,038Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 10, 2026, center on a high of 21–23°C amid widespread cloud cover, intermittent rain, and a low-pressure system driving instability.** Official alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight the risk of moderate to heavy rainfall (up to 70 mm possible) and gusty winds through Thursday, consistent with multiple meteorological sources showing suppressed daytime heating. Model runs, including those from Yr and other regional services, indicate peak temperatures near midday under mostly overcast skies, with rain reducing solar insolation and limiting the typical spring warming. September 2026 has already run several degrees cooler than the long-term average for the city, and the current pattern—marked by a frontal boundary and extratropical influences—reinforces this trend. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 22°C (26%) and 23°C (23.5%), followed closely by 24°C and 21°C, reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: small differences in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, or wind direction could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting the balance between modest diurnal recovery and persistent moisture that historically caps highs in similar setups. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the day will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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