Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 11 de setembro?
25°C 58%
26°C 40%
24°C 3%
23°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
58%
26°C
40%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 58%
26°C 40%
24°C 3%
23°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$416 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$94 Vol.
2%
24°C
$359 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,106 Vol.
58%
26°C
$456 Vol.
40%
27°C
$209 Vol.
2%
28°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,561Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,561Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Global Forecast System and European ensembles project a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. This consensus underpins trader preference for the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, whose combined 97% implied probability reflects tight clustering around typical late-summer values near the 25–27°C climatological range. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover limit upward spikes, while small model spreads and potential urban measurement variations at official stations account for the narrow edge given to 25°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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