Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila on September 10, 2026, is expected to deliver widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–30 °C according to PAGASA guidance and GFS model consensus. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 30 °C (49 %) and 29 °C (35 %), as convective rain and thick stratiform clouds typically suppress temperatures 1–3 °C below the September climatological high of ~31 °C. Official observations from the National Capital Region will resolve the market using standard maximum-temperature criteria, with any late-day clearing or reduced rainfall the main variables that could push readings toward 31 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 10 de setembro?
30°C 51%
29°C 46%
31°C 6%
32°C 2%
$18,426 Vol.
$18,426 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
41%
30°C
50%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 46%
31°C 6%
32°C 2%
$18,426 Vol.
$18,426 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
41%
30°C
50%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Metro Manila on September 10, 2026, is expected to deliver widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–30 °C according to PAGASA guidance and GFS model consensus. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 30 °C (49 %) and 29 °C (35 %), as convective rain and thick stratiform clouds typically suppress temperatures 1–3 °C below the September climatological high of ~31 °C. Official observations from the National Capital Region will resolve the market using standard maximum-temperature criteria, with any late-day clearing or reduced rainfall the main variables that could push readings toward 31 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions