Ongoing habagat southwest monsoon conditions, combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, are the main drivers shaping trader views on Manila's September 10 overnight low. These factors limit nighttime radiative cooling, typically holding minimum temperatures near 24–26°C, close to seasonal averages. Model consensus from PAGASA and international forecasts points to continued moisture and light winds that compress the diurnal range, making extremes less likely. An emerging moderate-to-strong El Niño may gradually suppress rainfall later in the year, but its influence remains secondary for this immediate timeframe. Traders weigh the balance between potential brief clear spells allowing slightly lower readings and sustained overcast skies that favor milder minima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila no dia 10 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 62%
30°C ou mais 62%
28°C 38%
29°C 38%
20°C ou menos
62%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
24%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C ou mais
62%
20°C ou menos 62%
30°C ou mais 62%
28°C 38%
29°C 38%
20°C ou menos
62%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
24%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C ou mais
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing habagat southwest monsoon conditions, combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, are the main drivers shaping trader views on Manila's September 10 overnight low. These factors limit nighttime radiative cooling, typically holding minimum temperatures near 24–26°C, close to seasonal averages. Model consensus from PAGASA and international forecasts points to continued moisture and light winds that compress the diurnal range, making extremes less likely. An emerging moderate-to-strong El Niño may gradually suppress rainfall later in the year, but its influence remains secondary for this immediate timeframe. Traders weigh the balance between potential brief clear spells allowing slightly lower readings and sustained overcast skies that favor milder minima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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