Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for Mexico City on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds associated with scattered showers. At the city's high elevation, radiative cooling is moderated by these factors, keeping overnight lows close to the September climatological average of 12–14°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader balance between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter minimums by several degrees. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 11 de setembro?
7°C ou menos 98%
17°C ou mais 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
7°C ou menos
98%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
20%
14°C
21%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C ou mais
98%
7°C ou menos 98%
17°C ou mais 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
7°C ou menos
98%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
20%
14°C
21%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for Mexico City on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds associated with scattered showers. At the city's high elevation, radiative cooling is moderated by these factors, keeping overnight lows close to the September climatological average of 12–14°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader balance between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter minimums by several degrees. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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