Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for September 14 under persistent northeast monsoon flow, high dew points near 24°C, and stable subtropical high pressure. These conditions suppress significant radiational cooling or cold advection, aligning with seasonal September climatology where minimums average 24–25°C. Scattered showers may enhance cloud cover and limit daytime heating but are unlikely to drop readings below 25°C absent a stronger frontal passage. Trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes reflects recent model consensus favoring mild overnight temperatures, with resolution depending on the official minimum recorded at the HK Observatory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de setembro?
27°C 44%
26°C 32%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
32%
27°C
44%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 32%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
32%
27°C
44%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C for September 14 under persistent northeast monsoon flow, high dew points near 24°C, and stable subtropical high pressure. These conditions suppress significant radiational cooling or cold advection, aligning with seasonal September climatology where minimums average 24–25°C. Scattered showers may enhance cloud cover and limit daytime heating but are unlikely to drop readings below 25°C absent a stronger frontal passage. Trader emphasis on 26–27°C outcomes reflects recent model consensus favoring mild overnight temperatures, with resolution depending on the official minimum recorded at the HK Observatory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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