**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 11 de setembro?
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,417 Vol.
$38,417 Vol.
11 set 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,417 Vol.
$38,417 Vol.
11 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$1,045 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
Não
23°C
$2,591 Vol.
Não
24°C
$5,713 Vol.
Não
25°C
$9,928 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$5,804 Vol.
Não
27°C
$8,915 Vol.
Não
28°C
$3,103 Vol.
Não
29°C
$86 Vol.
Não
30°C
$96 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$86 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$38,417Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,417Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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