Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Houston under a southerly flow of Gulf moisture, supporting afternoon highs of 92–94 °F on September 13 with only scattered thunderstorms expected after peak heating. This pattern aligns with the current market-implied probabilities favoring the 92–93 °F bin (43 %) and 94–95 °F bin (27.5 %), as heat indices already exceed 100 °F and climatological September averages near 90 °F. Limited model spread and absence of stronger steering winds or widespread cloud cover reduce the chance of cooler outcomes below 90 °F, while the low odds on 96 °F+ reflect the modest storm risk that could cap the maximum. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 13 de setembro?
92-93°F 44%
94-95°F 32%
32,2-32,8°C 21%
96-97°F 18%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
81°F ou menos
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
30-31°C
4%
88-89°F
16%
32,2-32,8°C
21%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
7%
100°F ou mais
3%
92-93°F 44%
94-95°F 32%
32,2-32,8°C 21%
96-97°F 18%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
81°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
3%
30-31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
16%
32,2-32,8°C
$732 Vol.
21%
92-93°F
$275 Vol.
44%
94-95°F
$210 Vol.
32%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
18%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
7%
100°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Houston under a southerly flow of Gulf moisture, supporting afternoon highs of 92–94 °F on September 13 with only scattered thunderstorms expected after peak heating. This pattern aligns with the current market-implied probabilities favoring the 92–93 °F bin (43 %) and 94–95 °F bin (27.5 %), as heat indices already exceed 100 °F and climatological September averages near 90 °F. Limited model spread and absence of stronger steering winds or widespread cloud cover reduce the chance of cooler outcomes below 90 °F, while the low odds on 96 °F+ reflect the modest storm risk that could cap the maximum. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,217Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Houston under a southerly flow of Gulf moisture, supporting afternoon highs of 92–94 °F on September 13 with only scattered thunderstorms expected after peak heating. This pattern aligns with the current market-implied probabilities favoring the 92–93 °F bin (43 %) and 94–95 °F bin (27.5 %), as heat indices already exceed 100 °F and climatological September averages near 90 °F. Limited model spread and absence of stronger steering winds or widespread cloud cover reduce the chance of cooler outcomes below 90 °F, while the low odds on 96 °F+ reflect the modest storm risk that could cap the maximum. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,217Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Houston under a southerly flow of Gulf moisture, supporting afternoon highs of 92–94 °F on September 13 with only scattered thunderstorms expected after peak heating. This pattern aligns with the current market-implied probabilities favoring the 92–93 °F bin (43 %) and 94–95 °F bin (27.5 %), as heat indices already exceed 100 °F and climatological September averages near 90 °F. Limited model spread and absence of stronger steering winds or widespread cloud cover reduce the chance of cooler outcomes below 90 °F, while the low odds on 96 °F+ reflect the modest storm risk that could cap the maximum. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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