**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.** Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture. Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 11 de setembro?
25°C 29%
26°C 21%
23°C ou menos 20%
24°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
23°C ou menos
20%
24°C
18%
25°C
29%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 29%
26°C 21%
23°C ou menos 20%
24°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$1,977 Vol.
20%
24°C
$597 Vol.
18%
25°C
$791 Vol.
29%
26°C
$200 Vol.
21%
27°C
$273 Vol.
7%
28°C
$383 Vol.
4%
29°C
$209 Vol.
4%
30°C
$83 Vol.
2%
31°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.**
Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture.
Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,251Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.**
Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture.
Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,251Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.** Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture. Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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