Recent atmospheric patterns over southeastern Brazil, including a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, limited nighttime radiative cooling in São Paulo on September 12, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C rather than allowing deeper drops. Official station data and model consensus point to a recorded low in the 13–14 °C range, with trader sentiment split because small differences in urban heat island effects, wind speed, or exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the official minimum across the closely matched 12 °C, 14 °C, and 16 °C thresholds. Ongoing verification of INMET and airport observations will resolve these fine distinctions as final reports are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 12 de setembro?
16°C 99.5%
12°C ou menos 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$575 Vol.
$575 Vol.
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
16°C 99.5%
12°C ou menos 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$575 Vol.
$575 Vol.
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent atmospheric patterns over southeastern Brazil, including a passing cold front and increased cloud cover, limited nighttime radiative cooling in São Paulo on September 12, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 12–14 °C rather than allowing deeper drops. Official station data and model consensus point to a recorded low in the 13–14 °C range, with trader sentiment split because small differences in urban heat island effects, wind speed, or exact timing of the coldest hour can shift the official minimum across the closely matched 12 °C, 14 °C, and 16 °C thresholds. Ongoing verification of INMET and airport observations will resolve these fine distinctions as final reports are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions